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Wind Energy:
A Success Story
by Harley Lee
Since 1980, the cost
of power from wind farms has dropped from 38 cents
to 4 to 7 cents per kWh, and it continues to decline.
The cost of wind energy is now on a par with the
cost of coal and gas, and it is cheaper than nuclear.
As a result, the industry is in a period of extraordinary
growth.

Source: American Wind Energy Association
Cumulative
global wind energy generating capacity topped 31,000
megawatts (MW) in 2002. Some 6,868 MW of new capacity
were installed worldwide during the year, an increase
of 28%, according to preliminary estimates by the
American Wind Energy Association and the European
Wind Energy Association. Wind plants now power the
equivalent of 7.5 million average American homes
(16 million average European homes) worldwide.
Global
wind power generating capacity has quadrupled over
the past five years, growing from 7,600 MW at the
end of 1997 to an estimated 31,128 MW at the end
of 2002 -- an increase of over 23,000 MW. Wind is
the world's fastest-growing energy source on a percentage
basis, with installed generating capacity increasing
by an average 32% annually for the last five years
(1998-2002).
American Wind Energy
Association
Global Market Report - 2003
As of January, 2004, the total
wind energy capacity worldwide was approximately 37,220
megawatts, with total electricity production of about
97 billion kWhs - roughly eight times Maine's consumption.
Total investment to date is over $40 billion. Wind
turbine reliability is well above that of most conventional
generating technologies, with current average down
time at only 1 to 2 percent.

Source: American Wind Energy
Association
(Installed capacity reached 37,220 MW by 1/04)
There are several reasons why wind
energy is growing so rapidly. In addition to low cost
and high reliability, it has other benefits. Construction
takes months instead of years. Wind turbines can be
added in small increments to match growth in demand.
Wind energy is popular as well: dozens of surveys conducted
in the U.S. and abroad consistently show a preference
for wind energy. Wind energy creates 27 percent more
jobs than advanced coal technology and twenty times more
jobs than natural gas combined cycle. With wind energy,
customers pay for people, not fuel. And of course wind
energy has zero emissions, an obvious environmental
benefit. In short, wind energy is both environmentally
and economically sustainable. Wind farms will still
be spinning long after all nuclear plants are shut
down and natural-gas-fired plants have run out of economical
fuel. Since only a miniscule fraction of the wind potential
has been tapped, the industry is expected to continue
to grow at a rapid rate for many years. Wind is projected
to be the lowest-cost energy resource in five years.
A Large Resource
The total wind resource in the
US is about 3,000 quads or 30 times our current total
energy consumption and about 500 times larger than
the total hydroelectric resource.
|
Energy Source
|
Theoretical Resource
|
Recoverable Resource
|
Current Utilization
|
| Solar |
46,000 |
>100 |
0.06 |
| Wind |
3,000 |
120 |
0.02 |
| Biomass |
-- |
13-26 |
3.11 |
| Hydro |
5.8 |
3-4 |
3.24 |
| Units are quads.
Total energy consumed in the US is about 100 quads. |
| Source: DOE/EIA,
Union of Concerned Scientists, Battelle Labs |
Of the very large (3,000 quad)
theoretical wind resource in the US, only a small portion
is technically and economically recoverable. A DOE
study put the recoverable portion at about 120 quads-about
20% more than the total US energy consumption. Maine
has an above average wind resource. Endless Energy
Corporation has measured several sites which are more
windy than most of the wind farm sites developed around
the world to date. Wind energy could supply 15 to 30
percent of Maine's electricity within ten to twenty
years. (Biomass went from 0 to about 25 percent during
the 1980s.)
Lowest Cost Power Over the
Long Run
Along with hydroelectric power,
wind farms are likely to produce the lowest cost power
over the long run. Here's why. The lowest cost power
comes from old hydroelectric dams. The reason this
power is so cheap is that the capital costs of the
dam have been paid for, there are no fuel costs, the
operating and maintenance costs are very low, and lots
of water keeps coming year after year after year. A
good wind farm site will be similar. Although O&M costs
will be slightly higher, they will still be lower than
any thermal plant. Like hydro power,
wind uses a kinetic energy source from nature to directly
turn a generator. Unlike thermal plants, there is no
need to convert chemical (or nuclear) energy to heat
and then to mechanical energy. There is no fuel handling,
combustion equipment, boilers, pollution control, etc.
Wind energy, like hydro, will have a consistently low
cost while producing no pollution...forever.
Environmentally Sustainable
How we find, extract, and use energy
probably has a greater effect on the environment than
any other human activity. Electric power production
creates a third of all air pollution.
Nationwide, as many as
30,000 deaths a year are related to power plant emissions,
according to a study by Abt Associates, a private
research organization that does work for the EPA.
By comparison, 16,000 Americans are killed each year
in drunken driving accidents, and more than 17,000
are victims of homicides. Washington
Post 3/6/02
This is the equivalent
to a World Trade Center disaster once every five weeks.
Power production also is a major
contributor to greenhouse gasses. The warmest month
ever recorded by humans was July 1999. The warmest
year ever recorded was 1998. The warmest decade ever
recorded was the 1990s. The warmest century in the
last 10,000 years was the 20th century. (2001 was the
second warmest year-remarkable for a non El Nino year.)
Wind energy must play an important
role in a sustainable energy future. Winds are renewable
energy, resulting from the sun's uneven heating of
the earth. Wind energy may be the most promising technology
available to produce significant amounts of energy
economically and without pollution. (Greenpeace, which
is fervently supporting wind energy, claims wind energy,
on its own and at no cost, could achieve one third
of the emissions reductions called for in the Kyoto
accord. The Maine State Planning Office's State of
Maine Climate Action Plan rates windpower as one of
the five best policies for reducing global warming
out of a list of 75 options.) This is the type of strong
foundation on which we can build an economically and
environmentally sustainable economy.
For more information:
A quick search in Google will
reveal numerous websites about wind energy. For general
information about wind energy, an excellent resource
is the AWEA
FAQ page. They cover a wide range of topics about
wind energy. For images and video, see our gallery of
wind farms in New England.
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